Infinite MonkeysMaybe it's the way Hillary dresses. Maybe it's because there's no Starbucks in Bluefield, and only 19 Starbuckses in the whole West "By God" Virginia. (There's 23 in my city of Pasadena). Hard to say, for sure. But Obama got smoked in the two-smokin' barrels Mountain State Tuesday.
Hillary won 67 percent to 28 percent — even better than even some of the most optimistic projections had it. I'm pretty bad at math, but 39 percentage points is pretty large.
What a strange Democratic Primary. Hillary wins huge states like Pennsylvania, Texas, Florida, New York, New Jersey, Michigan and California — yet Obama is declared the man. And after the press makes a big deal out of crowning him the nominee following a split of North Carolina and Indiana, Hillary crushes Obama in West Virginia and is poised to take Kentucky. Yet the calls for her to leave grow. Even Clinton King Maker James Carville says he's got his check made out to Obama, and pours lemon juice on the unkind cut by declaring that the rest of the Clinton Cling-ons will be following suit.
Ouch.
The question remains, though, whether Hillary has a point when she says that Obama can't win the general election when so many Democrats — a demographic she called working-class whites and got ripped for — don't take a shine to the latte-sippin' newbie.
Dale Franks, at Q&O, posted a map of Hillary Country. It's "country" in the traditional sense.
The blue you see are counties that Clinton got. The green is Obama. And the white is West Virginia and Kentucky, which Hillary should just about sweep.
These are the are the kinds of voters Democrats have slowly been making in-roads with, turning Reagan Democrats back to their side. And as Al Gore would attest, West Virginia is not an insignificant state. If he'd won it in 2000, out-going President Gore would have considered Florida's close election to have been an only slightly more interesting electoral footnote as the close contests in New Mexico and Wisconsin.
As Dale says:
The real question as we move towards the preidential election, is whether those blue counties will stay with Obama in November, should he become the nominee, or whether they will go for McCain, instead.
I'm with Dale in thinking that these areas go for McCain, at least enough to push a few key states into his basket. But Dale has done us the favor of putting up his projected electoral map — and he sees a Red State landslide.
That map is undoubtedly in the back of the minds of the shrewder Democratic SuperDelegates. Hillary knows that, so why wouldn't she stick it out until the August convention? Regardless, Obama has a lot of work to do between now and the general election. This pose is not encouraging.
The media's adulatory coronation routine — which will only get more intense as the months wear on — won't help make him the candidate he needs to be to capture the Hillary Country he must have to win at the ballot box, where it actually counts.
And as a Republican, that makes me happy.
Posted by Dr. Zaius at May 14, 2008 12:14 AM | TrackBackGood post.
I have to admit I enjoyed West Virginia as much as I expected I would. I am watching reruns now, and looking forward to Kentucky. What a well-deserved $125 barrel of pickles the Dems are drowning in! ... a sort of snapshot of what we could expect if either candidate got elected, not that I am hot on McCain.
Yes, and looking at that red/blue map: where exactly are the tealeaves? One or two more little "but, uh, what I meant to say was ... oh forget it, CHANGE" moments or one or two little background revelations plopping out, and that map really starts to see blue tending pink. We all know this. The $20 million questions are : what and when? Proper care and nurturing of what is already available may in itself already yield sufficient crop for McCain 'bio fuel' if it is too late for HRC.
Dems need to come up with a backup presumptive-candidate-in-waiting game plan and have Mega-Super-Delegates ready to go.
Yikes, but then there is always that sticky stacky blacky wacky wickety.
such fun. back to my rubics cube. red blue green white yellow ... nice analogy! gee thanks.
ciao from the Left coast
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