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As some of you no doubt noticed, Deregulator and I had an extended back and forth on Twitter about Obama, Socialism, Toyota and bailouts over the weekend. Below I have reconstructed the feed in chronological order. Obviously these topics are too complicated to discuss on Twitter, so I’ve brought the discussion over here so I (and hopefully he) can expand on my (his) points.
Deregulator:Lowry RE NY poll: 52% think Obama policies leading us toward socialism http://bit.ly/deXABH // yeah, but they're all racists #tcot 9:54 AM Apr 15th
KhabaLox:RT @deregulator Lowry RE NY poll: 52% think Obama policies leading us toward socialism //"Think" being the operative word.
This is what got the ball rolling. Lowry’s post links to an article (which didn’t even mention the socialism question) about the poll and not the poll itself, but Deregulator was able to track it down (see below). The point I was trying to make here is similar to my earlier point about polls showing a majority of Americans being against the Health Care Bill. In actuality, they are against what they think is in the bill, and when asked about individual provisions, they are generally in favor of them. Here, we have a poll telling us that in people’s opinion, Obama is moving us toward socialism. My contention is that their opinion is not very much in line with the facts.
Deregulator:@khabalox What would you call it, then? 8:06 PM Apr 15th
KhabaLox:@deregulator I don't think you can sum up all of a President's policies in one word. 8:59 PM Apr 15th
Deregulator:@khabalox It's a poorly worded question, then? 5:27 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator Yes, probably bad question too. Obv too complicated to discuss in tweets though. 7:26 AM Apr 16th
I thought maybe the question might have been poorly worded, or at least worded in such a way as to complicate interpretation of the answer. It turns out that wasn’t really the case; the question was pretty straight forward. But it comes back to this: The question is about how people interpret Obama’s policies. It is not a question posed to political scientists, journalists, economists, or a “panel of experts” if you will, as to what the policies actually are doing. They are asking the Average Joe what they think they policies are doing. I think most Americans understanding of public policy is (mis)informed mostly by sound bites heard in the MSM (including Fox).
KhabaLox:@deregulator Do you have a link to the complete poll? Lowry's sound bite is not discussed in the article he linked to. 8:21 AM Apr 16th
Deregulator:@khabalox Here's the whole thing. Will read it over the weekend. http://nyti.ms/cCk39z 9:12 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator Thx! It's question is #49 on pg 24. It's not badly worded. I would answer it no; I think most don't get nuances of his policies 9:25 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator For example; HCR actually empowers private insurance industry - there is little that is socialist about it. 9:26 AM Apr 16th
Most conservatives see HCR as a socialist government takeover. This is absurd. A government takeover would be a single payer system. One could make an argument that a public option would be moving us (in a socialist direction) toward a single payer system, but there isn’t even a public option. The government is not selling health insurance. In fact, this bill strengthens the private sector by mandating coverage. There is a reason why Health Insurance companies’ stocks went up when the bill was passed.
Deregulator:@khabalox I'll have more later, but if US takes over GM even temporariliy, why wouldn't it do so again? Precedents send signals. 9:50 AM Apr 16th
Deregulator:@khabalox Isn't it interesting that US is now seeking record fines against (mostly nonunion) Toyota? (which has bounced back well) 9:52 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator GM takeover temporary, so not moving us to socialism; bank bailout Bush's/Paulson's idea originally & many *loans* paid back. 9:29 AM Apr 16th
First, re the bank bailouts: The bailout of the financial sector is exhibit B for Conservatives wanting to paint Obama as a Socialist. They conveniently forget that it was 1) started under Bush and Paulson, and 2) largely necessary due to the deregulation of the financial industry. Additionally, some of the banks in question were given loans (not bought out) which they repaid. Unfortunately, there were others (like AIG) who received our money and used it to pay off their bad bets with other banks like Goldman Sachs.
Deregulator seems to be arguing that by taking a controlling interest in GM, the government is setting a precedent that it can and will do this again, and thus, we are becoming more Socialist. And it is Obama who is doing this to us. I would argue that the GM situation is a Black Swan. It’s very unlikely that the government will take a 60% stake in such a large company again, as long as we as a country wake up to the risk of allowing companies to grow to be “too big to fail.” Here is the President discussing the takeover.
This is a difficult situation that involves fundamental questions about the proper role of government. On the one hand, government has a responsibility not to undermine the private enterprise system. On the other hand, government has a responsibility to safeguard the broader health and stability of our economy.
Addressing the challenges in the auto industry requires us to balance these two responsibilities. If we were to allow the free market to take its course now, it would almost certainly lead to disorderly bankruptcy and liquidation for the automakers. Under ordinary economic circumstances, I would say this is the price that failed companies must pay -- and I would not favor intervening to prevent the automakers from going out of business.
But these are not ordinary circumstances. In the midst of a financial crisis and a recession, allowing the U.S. auto industry to collapse is not a responsible course of action. The question is how we can best give it a chance to succeed. Some argue the wisest path is to allow the auto companies to reorganize through Chapter 11 provisions of our bankruptcy laws -- and provide federal loans to keep them operating while they try to restructure under the supervision of a bankruptcy court. But given the current state of the auto industry and the economy, Chapter 11 is unlikely to work for American automakers at this time.
Does that sound like a socialist bent on government takeover of the entire economy? Because that was Bush back in 2008. (Hat Tip: Joel Mathis)
KhabaLox:@deregulator Don't get your point RE Toyota but i note: sales up bc of steep discounts; stock down 13+% since Jan; 10:43 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator also, record fine of 16M is paltry vs. revenue of 220+B; Real Q is how many died b/c Toyota didnt disclose safety prob earlier 10:46 AM Apr 16th
Deregulator:@khabalox So the fine doesn't matter b/c Toyota could afford it? Tell that to the consumer who'll pay, employees who won't get raises, etc. 11:02 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator Just putting fine in perspective; it's justified bc they sold many defective cars & didn't tell US; knew about problem 4 months 11:05 AM Apr 16th
KhabaLox:@deregulator See paragraph 8 of Reuters story. http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6343YE20100405 11:06 AM Apr 16th
I’m not sure what Deregulator was getting at with the Toyota reference. Perhaps he sees government fines as an undue infringement on free enterprise and further proof of Obama taking us toward socialism. Hogwash. My points: 1) the fine is miniscule compared to the amount of cars they sold in the US. 2) Toyota knew of the problems months in advance, yet failed to notify US consumers and safety regulators, contributing to the deaths of US citizens. 3) I’m not sure they’ve bounced back as much as Deregulator thinks they have. Sales are up because of record discounts; the stock price is still way down. If anything though, point (3) is an argument against fining companies for breaking the law and endangering consumer’s lives. The market is putting pressure on Toyota to do the right thing.
Deregulator:@khabalox Back to the NYT poll: Looks good to me. Asked people w/TParty sympathies solid questions. Also asked some Qs dating back 30+ yrs. 5:34 AM Apr 18th
Deregulator:@khabalox NYT Q#73: 49% said "socialism" to them means gov't ownership. That's textbook. 5:35 AM Apr 18th
Deregulator:@khabalox NYTQ74: 71% said it is 'never' justified to use violence vs. govt (all respondents: 79%). Somebody better tell Bill Clinton. 5:37 AM Apr 18th
KhabaLox:@deregulator Knowing what socialism is and thinking #Obama is taking us there two diff things. about 23 hours ago
KhabaLox:@deregulator Being right about one doesn't mean you are right about the other. about 23 hours ago
Deregulator:@khabalox If the choice is one of direction, there's no question where Obama's headed. Sure ain't toward freedom. about 20 hours ago
KhabaLox:@deregulator Politics and policy aren't two dimensional. Surely you don't see things so simply. about 19 hours ago
I would appear that only half of those polled know what socialism is. To me that says I should trust them less when they say they think Obama is taking us there. But, even if they all knew exactly what socialism was, that still leaves them knowing what Obama’s policies are. We’ve already shown that most Americans don’t know the details of the Health Care legislation. Given that that was the biggest of Obama’s policies, I think it’s fair to say that the general public doesn’t have a good, intimate understanding of his other policies. Therefore, their opinion of in what direction Obama is taking the country is largely uninformed and irrelevant.
Deregulator say's that Obama is not headed toward freedom. Presumably this opinion is derived from policies such as the health insurance mandate. (Can you give me some examples of other policies of his that restrict freedom?) I would agree that forcing people to buy health insurance is abridging freedom, but I don't see how that makes him a socialist. Are there other aspects of the Health Care bill (or his other policies) that are socialist? What are they?
Also, I’m missing the Clinton reference. Did he advocate violence against the government? How does that tie in to the current discussion?
Deregulator:@khabalox We have a mixed economy. Do policies support markets or government? Occam's Razor ... about 16 hours ago
Deregulator:@khabalox UHC using private insurers would make HC much like the power mkt dominated by strictly regulated utils. Not much freedom there. about 16 hours ago
Deregulator:@khabalox Certainly not much competition. about 16 hours ago
KhabaLox:@deregulator Universal Health Care provided by private insurance companies is hardly socialist. about 16 hours ago
KhabaLox:@deregulator Barriers to entry in HC market same with or wo mandated coverage. Maybe lower with mandate, since market is larger. about 15 hours ago
I’m not sure I get the Occam’s Razor reference in the context of that tweet. Given the source, I’m tempted to guess that Deregulator is simply saying simpler/less/no regulation or government involvement in private industry is best. But what is the question: “Do policies support markets or government?” getting at? Deregulator, can you expand on this a bit?
Deregulator is making a comparison between the health care market (with mandated coverage) and the power/electricity market. There are a few reasons why this analogy is not perfect, but I think most can be ignored because they don’t impact the discussion greatly (e.g. not everyone is mandated to purchase electricity, but in reality 99.9% do). However, once glaring difference between the two industries is in the barriers to entry for other firms. Power companies enjoy the status of natural monopoly. Even in a world with no government regulation of electricity, we would still find ourselves with a very small number of power companies. It simply isn’t feasible for hundreds of companies to run wires across town and to your house. We see this in the telephone/cable/internet markets. It is very expensive for a company to lay the wire (or launch the satellites or build the cell towers) so even with a more deregulated market, we still only see a handful of firms.
Insurance, on the other hand, does not have the huge physical capital start up costs. True, an insurance company does need capital to get their business going, but they don’t have to make as large an up front investment. It is much easier to start small and work your way up. Plus, there is the whole notion of re-insurance.
All of this is to say that mandating coverage is not taking us in the direction of socialism. If anything, it is strengthening the private insurance sector. More people may get into this business, since the market just grew by about 10%. There is not a lot of freedom or competition in the electricity market in large part because of the fundamental nature of the industry. Once they develop a way to distribute power wirelessly, or rooftop solar/wind/etc. becomes more cost effective, you will see much more competition.
So I open the floor to Deregulator and everyone else. Is Obama taking us toward socialism? Why or why not. This will be 30% of your final grade. Posts are due by Friday.
I'll let others take a crack at this
... as the right-hand man to our former governor is about to go to jail, and our humble publication did some of the reporting that led to his indictment. So I'll be busy covering this little kerfuffle.
What I'll briefly say to kick off the discussion is that, even though I'm not a Randian, sometimes A really is A.
The NYT question asked if Americans believe Obama's policies are taking the nation in the direction of socialism. I don't think that's a difficult question, if the alternative is binary: Are policies tending to allow freedom of action, are are they tending to restrict those actions (using laws and regulations as the enforcement mechanism)?
You may think that's not a legitimate question, or that it doesn't matter, because the regulations are necessary/good/proper/peachy keen. Or that it was unfair to characterize the policies as socialist in nature. (If "socialist" bothers you, is "statist" less judgmental? It's not the term Tea Partiers typically use, and the poll was designed to see where they're coming from.)
But the Times wasn't asking whether the policies were justified; it asked what direction they were taking the nation. Universal Health Care, mandated by the force of law (including the tax code) is not a free-market response to the perceived health care crisis. Maybe it's a response the public wants. But it would hardly limit the size and scope of government, which is what the debate about free markets vs. socialism is all about.
I yield the floor.
What is socialism?
Have fun/Good luck with the story. It sounds juicy. :)
I have a couple of problems with this quote. First, I don't think the alternative is binary. A movement away from freedom is not necessarily a movement toward socialism. A policy that benefits corporations is not necessarily a policy to the detriment of individuals. As I tweeted, politics and policy are much more nuanced than that. I'm surprised that you see things so simply, in black and white. But then again, maybe I shouldn't be surprised.
Socialism is defined by the collective (public) ownership of the means of production and decision making as to the distribution of resources. I don't see how making people buy health insurance from private, for profit corporations fits that definition. Is there another definition you prefer? Or are there other aspects of the HC legislation that you are looking at as socialist? Laws which restrict freedom (e.g. drug laws, laws against abortion, health insurance mandate) are not socialist.
Sure it's a legitimate question. But fully half of those polled don't understand the basics of socialism, to say nothing of understanding the basics of Obama's (and Bush's - hah!) policies. So it's the answer that is not legitimate - or at least not helpful, meaningful or relevant*).
But it's not a socialist response either. It is a response which incorporates (and, I would argue, strengthens) the private sector.
Again, I think you are being to narrowly focused and/or simplistic. "Free Market" and "Socialist" are not direct opposites in exclusion of all other political and economic philosophies. Saudi Arabia's economy, especially the oil sector, is very much not free, but it is not socialist. The means of production are owned (mostly and de facto) by the Saud family, not the people. Likewise, the means of production in the US health insurance market are owned by private for-profit companies, not the people. Forcing people to buy from them is not socialist, in any reasonable interpretation of the word.
*It's comical how I continue to misspell "relevant" no matter how many times I type it.
Edit: Good God! How do I get a "Read More" link in my post? I'm taking up way more than my fair share of the front page.
They conveniently forget that it was 1) started under Bush and
" They conveniently forget that it was 1) started under Bush and Paulson, and 2) largely necessary due to the deregulation of the financial industry."
Thanks, Khab, for too much good stuff. I am hurriedly perusing up to this point, when I think:
so, if a policy is begun by Bush and Paulson, then it is necessarily *not* socialist in direction/consequence?
I don't know about that inference.
Some will no doubt begin to hue and cry about "why weren't you complaining when he did it?" -- a human enough impulse, to be sure, going back to the garden of Eden.
But I would reply for me and people like me: we were complaining under Bush for these types of things. It's just that it wasn't as fashionable to cover us. C. Sheehan, et. al., were getting all the good press.
Bush's "socialist" policy
No. The point is that Obama is being blamed for taking us into socialism. In this case, it is Bush/Paulson leading the way (if such a thing as the bank bailout is leading us to socialism, which I dispute). One could argue that by the time Obama came into office his hands were tied and he had to follow Bush's policy out to the end. So not only is this not an example of the country being led to socialism, it is not even an example of Obama leading us to socialism.
Saudi Arabia
May fall outside the limitations of the 140-character template.
The House of Saud is pre-modern, a monarchy, closer to feudalism than either socialism or laissez faire. It doesn't fit because it's not a democracy in any sense.
Asking where Saudia Arabia fits in the equation is ducking the question. (Whether or not it was intentional.)
RE Saudi Arabia
You're missing the point (or maybe I'm missing yours).
You seem to be saying that Obama's policies make us less free, therefore he is leading us toward socialism. I am saying that being less free (economically) does not make a country socialist - case in point, Saudi Arabia.
To put it another way, saying Obama is restricting economic freedom and saying Obama is leading us to socialism are two different things that don't necessarily correlate.
UHC "strengthens the private sector"?
There can be a major difference between policies that enrich individual companies and those that strengthen the private sector. In most states, Blue Cross Blue Shield does quite well because it has political clout and connections that guarantee it will face little meaningful competition. Investors in Chinese companies can get rich, but are those companies really operating in a free market?
Is that good for consumers? Probably not. For further explanation, I'll defer to Shawn Tully of Fortune.
As for the "Bush started it" argument, we've been round and around about this for months when discussing the deficit. The Bush administration ran up a couple hundred billion dollars in red ink. Yes. But Obama's run up $1.6 trillion this fiscal year alone. And we're likely to see tens of trilions in additional debt -- fueled entirely by the expansion of government triggered by Obama and his political allies.
What Bush did was, well, bush league compared to what's going on now.
And yes, that debt is leading us toward socialism (that is, a greater government control of the economy) unless we see dramatic reductions in spending soon.
Debt and Socialism
I'll probably post a more complete response in the morning but let me say this. You don't seem to hold the same definition of socialism as the rest of the world. Increased government spending does not equal socialism. Until we can agree on what socialism is, this discussion is probably pointless. What is your definition?
Useless words
"Socialism" has, unfortunately, become a nearly useless word. Not quite as useless as "Fascism" but it's in the ballpark. Any poll that makes use of the word is not likely to produce meaningful results.
For the record, I don't believe "socialist" is a fair label to apply to this healthcare monstrosity. "Corporatist" is much more accurate, and, in my opinion, makes it even worse.
Definition
I'm working from a general notion of socialism that just happens to be the definition used by the American Heritage New Dictionary of Cultural Literacy.
An economic system in which the production and distribution of goods are controlled substantially by the government rather than by private enterprise, and in which cooperation rather than competition guides economic activity. There are many varieties of socialism. Some socialists tolerate capitalism, as long as the government maintains the dominant influence over the economy; others insist on an abolition of private enterprise. All communists are socialists, but not all socialists are communists.
While the standard textbook definition (Random House) calls socialism "a theory or system of social organization that advocates the vesting of the ownership and control of the means of production and distribution, of capital, land, etc., in the community as a whole," I would argue that the American Heritage definition is in fact closer to the way most non-academics view the term. (Besides, Random House's definition is closer to the common view of, well, communism. And I'm not suggesting Obama's taking us there.)
I'd also say that socialism has become blurred with the welfare or entitlement state. "Socialism" or "social democracy" presumes a vast array of social programs provided by taxpayers that tend to crowd out private alternatives and (again, in my view) discourage individual responsibility and private initiative.
A guaranteed universal right to health insurance would fall in that category, as would a federal government that takes over GM (even temporarily) rather than allow it to enter Chapter 11. While Chapter 11 would have been an incredibly disruptive move, it was the only way a number of financial and automotive experts believed the company could exist as an independent business long-term. Plus, along with the bank bailouts, it sent a signal to large, struggling organizations that the key to their salvation might well be to tank their company so they could receive a rescue from taxpayers.
As for Robb's call that the Obama health care plan is "corporatist" -- well, I agree. Problem is, how many people would even recognize that term (or "statist," for that matter) when asked by a poll-taker? The NYT pollsters were using the vernacular of the Tea Party to evaluate both their views and the views of the public at large. My guess is, they were surprised how widely the socialist meme resonated through the general public.
Deficits and Definitions
We've been round and around for months because you fail to accept the facts. You want to lay the entire blame for the bank bailouts, the temporary and partial ownership of GM and the various stimulus packages squarely on Obama's shoulders. But in fact most of those measures were started by Bush and were needed precisely because of Bush's policies which led us into the Great Recession. Had there been no Bush, Obama's budget would look quite different. It is because he has to dig us out of such a giant whole of the Republican's making that he has the deficit he has.
Ok, so tell me how forcing* the 10% or so of people not already in the market to buy insurance from private, for-profit corporations constitutes "[a]n economic system in which the production and distribution of goods are controlled substantially by the government rather than by private enterprise."
Oh wait, you can't.
*Keeping in mind that a significant portion of this 10% wants to be in the market, but can't for a variety of reasons.
How does mandating coverage fall into this category (of socialism) exactly? (See below, because you are contradicting yourself.) Or are you saying that "corporatist" and "socialist" are the same thing?
Now, with GM, you have at least one leg to stand your argument on. On the surface, it is a classic "taking us down the road to socialism" move. But there are a few problems: 1) It's not Obama taking us down this road, it's Bush. Obama got on the train at the last station and the track has already been laid. 2) Being a temporary move does make a difference. Whether they were right or wrong, the goal of the government in taking partial ownership of GM is to keep the company alive through a difficult time so that it can come out the other side prosperous. They want GM to be able to (eventually) succeed as a private enterprise so that it can continue to be an important part of our economy. The government, under Bush and Obama, does not want to be in the business of making cars. It is only doing this because the alternative (in their view) is potentially devastating. The aim is not to bring the means of production into government hands, but rather to preserve and protect private enterprise. The means to this end take us through some socialist waters, but those who think socialism is the goal are seriously shortsighted.
On this, I think we are mostly in agreement. I think the various bail/buyouts were bad, but unfortunately I think some of them were also necessary. The problem is, when you have one or a handful (of deeply interconnected) entities whose failure will spell economic ruin for our country, you can't let them fail. So what is the alternative? As "deregulator," I'm guessing you don't want government to limit the size or scope of corporations, and don't want it to intervene when they fail. Is that correct? Are you ready to accept/advocate the economic destruction of the United States? Personally, I don't think the government should bailout business that make bad decisions and go under. But if we hold ourselves to that, then we have to ensure that business don't become too big to fail. Of course, the Republicans don't want that to happen. They'd rather us put our trust in the institutions that got us in this mess in the first place.
So what you are saying is that Obama's health care plan isn't really socialist, but TPers call it that because they don't know what corporatist or statist means? Well, thanks for proving my point for me. :)
Mandated coverage
If you don't understand why forcing people to purchase health insurance either from a private or public provider as a condition of citizenship (or forcing them to pay a fine if they don't) satisfies the "cultural" definition of socialism, then you're hopeless. Continuing this discussion will only waste my time and raise my blood pressure. So long.
RE cultural definition?
What do you mean by "cultural" definition?
If you are switching to "Obama is taking us down the road toward "cultural" socialism" than that is, I suppose, an entirely different debate. I was focusing on the standard definition of socialism which I thought you understood and agreed to - you did read the dictionary after all. Socialism is an economic theory, not a political one. Maybe what you are looking for is Communism?
Forcing people do do something might be fascist, or totalitarian, but it is not socialist. Obviously, when socialism has been instituted by other governments in the past it has sometimes been accompanied by fascism or totalitarianism, but one does not necessarily need the other (see: Kibutz). Proving that Obama a fascist* does not prove he is a socialist.
Forcing everyone to by Sony TVs is not socialist. Forcing people to buy US Government TVs probably is, especially if the US Government outlaws the private production and sale of TVs. Hell, certain states' (e.g. Pennsylvania) liquor laws are more socialist than Obama's health care plan. Do you understand the difference?
*And no, I'm not agreeing that Obama's policies are fascist. I'm merely pointing out that you are now arguing something entirely different that what we started on.
What? Since you can't prove your original assertion you are going to try to change the subject then run away? Ok then. :/