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Breitbart TV has posted a helpful video outlining a promise Obama made about his health care plan no fewer than 20 times. And it's quite the specific promise: "We're going to work with your employer to lower your premiums by $2,500 per family, per year."
I don't know what's more ridiculous/frustrating: (1) the idea that Obama believes it's the role of government to "work with your employer" on bringing down the cost of the health insurance plan your boss chose from countless plans; (2) the idea Obama can figure out a way to bring costs down by such a specific amount; or (3) the people who voted for him believe the government should do this and/or it is possible.
Comments
Government Role
I've said it before, and I'll say it again. The free-market doesn't always work. Specifically, it has thus far failed to keep health care costs down.
RE: Government Role
The health care market is among the most (if not the most) government-managed market in America — before this bill passed. Massachusetts decided to manage it more a couple of years back, and has seen insurance premiums skyrocket.
It's a little rich for the government to have its foot on the neck of the health care market and then hear advocates of the government complain that market can't get up and do its job.
RE: Govt role
Last I read, the government (federal/state/local) serves as the conduit for between 45-50 percent of health care spending in America. So yes, Z, it's hardly a free market. It's barely a market at all.
Conservative Math
I like this Conservative math. 48.8% of Americans = a vast majority of the public and the (alleged*) 50-55% of the health care market that is non-government = barely a market at all.
*Not that I'm disputing your figures, but without a source I'm not accepting them as gospel either.
Data
It's 47.3 percent, if you must know.
What did you think it was? 5?
The accompanying text is worth a read, too. If you want some edumacating.
RE: Data
Reading this thread, I'm reminded of an analogy an opponent of this monstrosity made to counter those who note that some polls show that "pieces" of the health care plan are popular — thus, the whole package will be/is popular. The fella was on a radio show and he replied (paraphrasing): "I like chocolate. I like steak. I like beer. I like oysters. But that doesn't mean it would be delicious if I threw them into a blender before I ate them."
The idea that because government controls "only" 47.3 percent of health care spending in America, free-marketeers have a weak case is ... well ... rather weak. You don't like the boot-on-the-neck analogy? Fine. How about this one:
A market half-managed by government not remotely "free" in any sense of the word. The deregulation of markets — telecommunications, my area of professional focus, comes to mind — tend to result in lower prices, more choices and higher quality.
RE Data
"The idea that because government controls "only" 47.3 percent of health care spending in America, free-marketeers have a weak case is ... well ... rather weak"
You and Deregulator fail to see the point once again. You guys are guilty of taking a number and blowing it out of proportion. The 48.8% of people against "what they know or have heard of health care reform" became the "vast majority of Americans" (and predicated you to call for Congress to vote the will of the people). The 47% government share of the health care market makes the 53% that's free "hardly a market at all." (Your analogy is terrible in that 1)it assumes that the grass should flourish across the entire yard and 2) that insurance companies would extend coverage to the other have of the yard. You are using rhetoric and exaggeration to make your points. You guys do have good points to make, but at times you seem to get a touch of Beck Fever and lose touch with reality. (inb4 stones and glass houses.)
Re: Re: Data
I'm inclined to be skeptical of most public opinion polls, which is why I don't cite them very much. (Though I do cite them, obviously.) They can be useful at times. I'm not certain how useful the polls are in this case, since they appear to be all over the place.
The best polls are those taken at the ballot box. It seemed to me that the election of Republican governors in New Jersey and Virginia -- two states that elected Barack Obama one year prior -- told us something about the public's mood on health care and other Obama policies. Certainly Scott Brown's election in Massachusetts could not have been any clearer. I'm sure we'll be seeing many similar messages in November, though I doubt they will be enough to turn the tide.
As for the health care market, I think you're all wet on that point, K. Just as a house divided against itself cannot stand, neither can a health care market. The health care business in American cannot endure, permanently half government-run and half privately run. Just as Lincoln did not expect the Union to dissolve, only to cease to be divided, I would expect the health care market to become totally government run -- with the possibility of a few "private" insurers acting as government contractors -- within a decade's time.
Re: Re: Re: Data
One should also note that it's bad enough that 47 percent of spending in health care is from and of government. But that "free" 53 percent of the market where private dollars flow is far from "free," but subject to extensive regulation and micromanagement by government. (There's a reason why "Big Health Care" is among the most active lobbies in Washington and state capitals around the country. It's because so much of what they can do as a business is subject to legislative and bureaucratic whim.)
The argument that the free markets in the health care sector have failed, so it's time to give government control over it, just doesn't stand up to scrutiny.
Free Markets, Numbers and Language
"As for the health care market, I think you're all wet on that point, K."
I'll go back and check, but I don't think I was making the case that the health care market was a free market. I'm simply objecting to and pointing out the overblown rhetoric being spewed. Deregulator called the private health insurance market "hardly a market at all." But Aetna, Well Point, and Humana made $1.277, $4.746 and $1.039 billion respectively in profits in 2009. How is that "hardly a market?" It's a huge market, and there is plenty of free market incentives that drive investors into it. Is it as free as the market for ball point pens? No, but it's not completely government run either.
Zaius and I got into to some time back when he asserted that most of the $700+ billion stimulus had been spent in Democratic districts. He was playing fast and loose with language then to make his political point, and he and Deregulator are playing fast and loose with numbers now to do the same, and it does a disservice to their argument.
And I know I am not without sin on this issue. I come across, I'm sure, as a raging liberal hippy most of the time, but I think part of that is a knee-jerk reaction because I am assailed with such hardcore conservative/libertarian ideology on this site. I am not disinclined to some of the more moderate beliefs held you, Zaius, Deregulator, etc., and I think in some cases the reverse is true. But we end up pushing each other away a lot of the time when we grasp to the thinnest evidentiary reed and hold it up while shrilly proclaiming the righteousness of our argument.
Businesses can make profits in non-free markets
Ever heard of regulated utilities, K? They make money, and they're monopolies.
Indeed, the big insurers you cited typically have the lion's share of business in their markets because they wheedle and cajole lawmakers and regulatory bodies to give them favorable treatment and shut competitors out.
This will be the future of private health insurance under ObamaCare, IMO, until, as Ben suggested, they all go under from political pressure and we wind up with single-payer.
I suppose you'll want links [sigh] because you're disinclined to believe anything that challenges your liberal hippy dogma.
*sigh*
"I suppose you'll want links [sigh] because you're disinclined to believe anything that challenges your liberal hippy dogma."
This is getting laughable. Did you even read what I posted?
My bad (sorta)
I confess. I read but not carefully, because once I saw Anthem, etc., referenced in a post about "free markets" I slightly switched off.
You used a bad counterexample, in my view, precisely because the market these companies deal in is strictly regulated and not open to genuine competition.
I'll try to be less testy. I'll leave it at that.
No worries
I think Joel had the right idea in trying to stay out of this discussion for the time being. I think emotions are probably running high on both sides, and we don't have that much more information than we did last week, so there is likely not much of substance we can add to our discourse. I am going to try to stay out of the health care reform discussion for the near future. I owe mono a reply on the DADT issue (look for a new forum topic coming to a blog near you), so I will work on that instead.
Re: *sigh*
I read what you posted. Your objection seems to be one of style as well as substance. Let me see if I can rephrase Deregulator's reply slightly, in hopes of at least achieving a bit more clarity (rather than agreement -- I think there is very little hope of that here).
When Deregulator says health care is "hardly a market at all," he means it's more like a cartel like OPEC. The analogy is imperfect today because health insurers cannot collude to set prices the way oil producing countries can. The analogy may be better when federal regulators say what insurers must offer and at what price. But, at any rate, insurers today can and do collude with state regulators to set rates that are favorable to shareholders, if not always the people they insure. I think you recognize this. Certainly the profits you cite are good evidence of it.
Our fundamental disagreement, I think, may be twofold.
First is the size, scope, necessity and propriety of government regulation of health care. My proposition simply is that government meddles too much in health care; that government regulation is bad for consumers; and that the "reforms" Congress just passed and President Obama just signed will result in greater centralization, less freedom and a poorer quality of life for Americans in the long-term.
BUT, it does not follow from my proposition that just because the federal government regulates an industry, that industry cannot make a profit for its shareholders. I believe the term for this is corporatism. Its a species of corporate welfare and a relic of certain discredited European ideologies.
Second, much of the debate surrounding health care reform has been framed in crude public vs. private terms. The truth is, private insurers have become hopelessly corrupted by public subsidies and government is hopelessly bound up with favored private industries and firms (not just in health care, obviously). Democrats argued that Republicans were shilling for the insurance industry. In reality, the bill the Democrats passed is a great law for Aetna, Well Point, and Humana, because they are big enough and profitable enough to get the regulations they need to stay in business.
Where does this leave the consumer? More important, where does this leave the citizen?
The essential case against this monstrous health reform is that the citizen-consumer is left more at the mercy of insurers backed by the power of the state. In an effort to improve access, government will raise taxes and impose penalties, which will take money out of other sectors of the private economy, hamper economic growth by constraining certain businesses, and reduce individual freedom of action.
In an effort to minimize the growth of health care expenses, government will, in fact, place limits on the care people may receive. How government will ration care remains to be seen, but if the goal is to keep costs in check, there is no getting around it.
In an effort to equalize the burden of this new entitlement, government will make purchasing health care a condition and duty of citizenship. With the exception of Selective Service registration -- which is relevant to national defense, a clear and fundamental responsibility of government -- this is unheard of in our history.
There are tens of millions of Americans who either believe the above are positive goods or fail to see the downsides. For example, I was depressed beyond words to hear the audio of thousands of George Mason University students cheering President Obama last week when he told them they could remain covered under their parents' health insurance until the age of 26. What supporters of health reform regard as a helping hand to young people starting out on their careers, many of us see as corrosive to independence and self-government.
At the risk of sounding like a "Chicken Little," we're becoming a nation of subjects, and not just because of this health care law. The change has been a long time coming, and it's far from complete. We had a republic. We chose not to keep it.
RE Re: *sigh*
As usual, excellent post, Ben. I have only a few quibbles.
No, mostly just style at this point. I think we (well, I at least) are pretty much done with the substantive debate. I am just disappointed, upset, ticked off, bothered by and/or peeved by the exaggerations. There is common ground, believe it or not (see my thoughts on the "adult children" issue below), but I get really turned off by they way some on the other side put forth their argument. Perhaps I'm too sensitive. :D
Or they believe the downsides are worth it. Please don't assume that Joel and I are blind idiots who think this law is a panacea and the first step on the road to utopia. I know Joel has said he recognizes that it is not perfect, and if I haven't made that clear, let me. This health care law is not perfect.
Risk taken and realized. We are still a republic, and if the public decides not to empower their representatives with the political will to repeal this "monstrous attack on personal liberty" then I guess they don't see it as on. To me, certain parts of the Patriot Act and related laws are far more damaging to our liberty. I'm puzzled why it is that conservatives get so incredibly incensed at the idea of the insurance mandate, but seem to roll over and play dead when the government says that it can detain citizens without due process indefinitely at the President's say so. [I saw a post by Joel about this in the RSS feed a few days ago, but it never showed up on the site. Is it still a work in progress?]
It's strange. I don't remember hearing anything about this idea until last Sunday. Perhaps I wasn't paying enough attention, but it didn't seem like one of the headlining features of reform, but now it's being touted as one of the great successes or failures of the law, depending on which side is talking. I'm guessing that the rationale is that college kids need access to health insurance, but it seems to me that it would make more sense to have colleges pool together to purchase insurance (or self-insure) and then pass that cost onto the student. Allowing 18-26 year olds to remain on their parents coverage disadvantages those in that group that go out and get a job (either instead of or after college) that covers them (though those are in short supply).
More data
Now, here's a majority. And it ain't no 48.8 percent.
Thoughts on a "right" to health care plans
I'm listening to Michael Medved's show in the background as I work today. John McCain was his guest, and a caller came on to make a point I found interesting. Using the logic many Democrats have articulated in the health care debate — most prominently, Nancy Pelosi — that we have a "right" to health care coverage, the caller asked why that logic doesn't apply to the legal profession.
After all, while the "right" to health care isn't in the Constitution, the right to an attorney is. So why don't we pass a bill that ensures everyone "has access" to "quality" legal representation when they need it? If we're willing to let government set prices and rules for health care coverage, why not impose cost controls and rules on the legal profession to ensure one's ability to pay does not hamper one's "access" to a "quality" lawyer?
Oh yeah. Now I remember.
Re: On rights
You'd almost think, from reading this, that you don't know that every single state and the federal government use taxpayer dollars to provide an attorney to every indigent person accused of a crime. Or that that the Supreme Court didn't require that in its Gideon v. Wainright ruling.
I'm actually with you: There's not a Constitutional "right" to health care. But this is a lousy example to make your point.
RE: Re: On rights
I think maybe Zaius was being too subtle. Of course he and anyone else who has watched any cop show on TV since 1969 or thereabouts knows the government will provide you with an attorney if you cannot afford one of your own. (Just as every state will provide indigent medical care.) His point, I think, is if the federal government treated legal services the way they're treating medical insurance, you would get the public defender's office level of service, not Perry Mason or Johnny Cochran.
Well, maybe Zombie Johnny Cochran.
RE: RE: On rights
Bing bing bing bing bing!!!
Ben, you get the prize.
Zombie John Cochran Says:
"If the analogy doesn't FIT /
Then it you must QUIT"
Ah, thank yew; thank yew veddy a-much
"There's a reason we don't quote Hitler when we discuss highway spending. It just puts too much noise into your signal." Joel, 2010
Paul Krugman, theologian
So the vote for health care "is a victory for America's soul"?
I thought liberals passionately defended the separation of religion and state.
(BONUS OBSERVATION: Check out the correction at the end. Even Nobel Laureates can engage in smear campaigns.)
Re: Krugman
FWIW, the correction isn't Krugman's fault, but a function of how the Post reported Gingrich's comment in the first place.
"Not his fault"
But he gladly (I'd imagine, gleefully, knowing Krugman's persona as a columnist) repeated the statement, even if he didn't verify its accuracy. Don't they have fact checkers at the NYT?
Re: Don't they have fact checkers at the NYT?
I thought only the New Yorker had fact checkers anymore. Everybody else is on their own. In this economy, fact checking is an easy expense to trim.
"Monstrous usurpation of liberty"
I'm really trying to stay out of everybody's way. But I think I have to object to your language here, Jim.
I'm not going to try to convince you that health reform isn't an imposition on personal liberties -- that would be a fool's errand on my part. But even if I agree to that interpretation (for the sake of argument) I still think your rhetoric is incredibly overblown.
Killing people for political purposes is "monstrous." Torturing people is "monstrous." Shutting down newspapers and opening up gulags begins to approach "monstrousness." Making people buy health insurance? Really, really annoying, maybe. Possibly even not right. But "monstrous?" Seems like you'd want to save that superlative for something ... monstrous.
If you do really believe that word and phrase is accurate, I don't see how you don't participate in a campaign of civil disobedience (at the very least) or join The Revolution. Otherwise you're acquiescing to something unconscionable. Either that, or you're using overblown language for effect. But the words mean something, and "monstrous usurpation of liberty" is a phrase that ought to be reserved for some trespass greater than "I really don't like it."
Respectfully submitted,
J
RE: Monstrous
From the dictionary on my Macbook:
That's where my head was when using the term "monstrous." And I believe it's accurate. Yes. The third definition includes words like "evil," but that's not the only interpretation — though it is yours, Joel.
Seriously, my friend. If I criticized every adjective of yours that I thought was a little over the top ... we would probably have stopped being on speaking terms at least a year ago. ;-)
Respectfully,
Jim
Re: Re: Monstrous
Fair enough. I remain -- as always -- concerned that apocalyptic-sounding language might lead to apocalyptic actions. Sorry for the misreading.